Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.033969 0.039588 0.045773 0.053076 0.061453 0.070751 0.081841
2025-08-24 0.025711 0.033065 0.041908 0.053283 0.067484 0.084579 0.106667
2025-08-31 0.019589 0.027488 0.037756 0.051986 0.071092 0.095734 0.129785
2025-09-07 0.016525 0.025028 0.036852 0.054328 0.079290 0.113416 0.163296
2025-09-14 0.013607 0.022105 0.034677 0.054369 0.084107 0.126922 0.192689
2025-09-21 0.011051 0.019170 0.031890 0.052911 0.086312 0.136718 0.217685
2025-09-28 0.009263 0.017071 0.029965 0.052340 0.089568 0.148172 0.246149
2025-10-05 0.008466 0.016461 0.030291 0.055339 0.098717 0.169539 0.292080
2025-10-12 0.007635 0.015625 0.030071 0.057316 0.106306 0.189067 0.336921
2025-10-19 0.006456 0.013919 0.028031 0.055752 0.107515 0.197987 0.364827
2025-10-26 0.005607 0.012698 0.026682 0.055217 0.110398 0.209920 0.398884
2025-11-02 0.004769 0.011342 0.024855 0.053485 0.110784 0.217344 0.425494
2025-11-09 0.004083 0.010202 0.023320 0.052176 0.111928 0.226470 0.456551
2025-11-16 0.003614 0.009463 0.022503 0.052212 0.115719 0.240927 0.499005
2025-11-23 0.003106 0.008532 0.021126 0.050858 0.116486 0.249585 0.531115
2025-11-30 0.002914 0.008342 0.021379 0.053109 0.125080 0.274573 0.597741
2025-12-07 0.002604 0.007785 0.020693 0.053128 0.128828 0.290032 0.646503
2025-12-14 0.002254 0.007052 0.019462 0.051690 0.129140 0.298320 0.681158
2025-12-21 0.001995 0.006519 0.018644 0.051126 0.131359 0.310843 0.725827
2025-12-28 0.001925 0.006520 0.019203 0.054058 0.142115 0.342970 0.815575
2026-01-04 0.001816 0.006379 0.019363 0.055990 0.150670 0.370942 0.898517
2026-01-11 0.001584 0.005810 0.018262 0.054460 0.150523 0.379114 0.937803
2026-01-18 0.001417 0.005411 0.017572 0.053936 0.152837 0.393174 0.991696